UFC 332 Betting Splits: Where the Sharp Money Is Landing This Weekend

UFC 332 has two standout sharp signals, both on underdogs, plus a group of smaller edges across the undercard. In these splits, a fighter whose share of the handle (dollars) far exceeds their share of bets (tickets) is the side bigger, more professional wagers are backing.

The Two Biggest Sharp Signals

The loudest signal is Deiveson Figueiredo at +525 against Payton Talbott. Talbott is a -750 favorite and holds 68% of tickets, but he has only 22% of the handle. Figueiredo has 78% of the money on 32% of the bets, a 46-point gap. Talbott’s bet share is falling while Figueiredo’s rises as we get closer to fight time. That suggests the public is starting to follow the big money toward the underdog.

Almost as strong is Court McGee (+185) against Eric Nolan (-225). Nolan collects 75% of the bets but just 31% of the handle. McGee has 69% of the money on only 25% of the tickets, a 44-point gap. A fighter at this price taking more than two-thirds of the dollars is a clear sign that sharp bettors disagree with the public favorite.

Secondary Sharp Spots

Several other fights show smaller but still meaningful gaps:

● Marvin Vettori (+120) vs. Ismail Naurdiev (-142): Vettori has 73% of the handle on 49% of bets, a 24-point gap. Naurdiev has 51% of tickets but only 27% of the money.

● Imanol Rodriguez (-155) vs. Alden Coria (+130): Rodriguez has 67% of the handle on 43% of bets, also a 24-point gap. This is a favorite the sharps like, while the public leans toward Coria’s plus price.

● Mick Parkin (+110) vs. Johnny Walker (-130): Parkin has 54% of the handle on 35% of bets, a 19-point gap on a near pick’em line.

● Marcus McGhee (-500) vs. Anthony Romero (+380): McGhee has 99% of the handle against 82% of bets. That is an 17-point gap, and sharps are comfortable laying the heavy price.

Three smaller underdog and favorite leans round out the board. Roman Kopylov (+185) has 42% of the money on 25% of bets against Ateba Gautier. Khaos Williams (+215) has 52% of the handle on 36% of tickets against Roberto Soldic. Esteban Ribovics (-230) has 70% of the handle on 54% of bets against King Green. Each gap is 16 to 17 points, so these are lean-level signals rather than strong plays.

Where Public and Sharp Money Agree

Some fights show no meaningful split, so there is no sharp edge to flag. Alexander Hernandez (-290) is at 84% of handle and 81% of bets against Rafael Dos Anjos. Anthony Wint (-520) is at 97% and 93% against Lucas Armand. Jacobe Smith (-1100) over Bruce Whitehead has a modest 88% handle to 94% bets, with the tickets slightly ahead of the dollars.

For bettors following the smart money into UFC 332, Figueiredo and McGee are the headline sharp underdog plays. Vettori, Rodriguez and Parkin are the next tier. The big-favorite spots look like public-driven chalk without much sharp differentiation.